Archive for February, 2008

Miami condos are “for sale” for foreign buyers

Wednesday, February 20th, 2008

Wed Feb 20, 2008 8:13am EST

16 Feb 2008

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By Jim Loney

MIAMI (Reuters) - Canadian retiree Sheldon Kovensky felt the lure that attracts so many foreign buyers to sunny Florida these days — falling prices for luxurious oceanfront condos that can be bought with weak U.S. dollars.

Kovensky has been scouring south Florida from Miami Beach to Palm Beach in search of a three-bedroom apartment on the sand. Armed with a Canadian dollar that has gained 25 percent against the greenback in the last two years, he is expecting a big bargain.

“We’re hoping to get an apartment worth about a million (U.S. dollars) that I can purchase for about 20 percent less,” he said by phone from his home in Unionville, Ontario, as he faced digging out from a snowstorm.

“The Canadian dollar is on par and the Florida market has dropped 20 to 30 percent, so you get a lot of bang for your buck,” he added.

Realtors, analysts and buyers say the strength of the Canadian dollar, the euro and other foreign currencies, on top of a falling real estate market, is making the United States an enticing place for foreigners looking to buy property.

In fact, they say, the combination of the weak dollar and the allure of Miami as a cosmopolitan, multilingual city may be helping to prop up a faltering, overbuilt condo market that had been expected to crash but has seen, to date, only a small drop in prices compared to other Florida cities.

In a study by the National Association of Realtors last year, Florida was the top destination for foreign buyers, accounting for 26 percent of all transactions, ahead of California at 16, Texas at 10 and Arizona at 6 percent.

More than 7 percent of all Florida homes were sold to foreigners, the study found, and 65 percent of realtors said they had brokered at least one foreign deal.

Online property auction site FastHomeAuction.com in December reported a record number of foreign visitors, citing the weakness of the dollar as a key contributor.

FOREIGN SHOPPING SPREE

Jan de Vetten, a Dutch toy trader who has built a side business helping friends and business associates buy Florida homes, said that in some cases they are getting properties at half price.

“They negotiate typically 25 to 30 percent off the asking price and the euro is almost a dollar and a half now, so they probably have another 10 to 15 percent in value,” he said.

Foreign buying was also reported brisk in Arizona, New York and elsewhere.

In New York, Manhattan’s average sales price soared to a record $1,439,909 in the fourth quarter last year as foreigners pushed up demand.

In Phoenix, cash-toting Canadians are snapping up second properties, mostly high-end homes on golf courses as refuges from the harsh winter, agents said. Many hail from Calgary, Canada’s oil boomtown.

“There’s definitely some Canadian money in town,” said Julie Goodman, a Remax agent who said she had sold six properties and had another four families coming this month for visits. “They pay cash and know that cash talks.”

After the U.S. market peaked in late 2005 and the subprime mortgage crisis set in, sales and prices began tumbling across Florida. The worst was felt in west coast cities like Punta Gorda, where condo sales fell 50 percent, and Fort Myers, where the median price of an apartment fell 21 percent in 2007.

While Miami sales fell — 39 percent for existing single-family homes and 41 percent for condos — median prices remained resilient before finally weakening in December, 2007.

For the year, the median Miami condo price rose 6 percent. But analysts expect a drop in coming months as thousands of new condo units come onto the market.

SOUTH BEACH, SWIMMING POOLS

The weakness in the greenback, agents say, is attracting buyers to Miami from continental Europe, Scandinavia and Canada in addition to the traditional influx of cash from volatile South American countries, particularly Venezuela.

A strong pound has Britons Florida looking outside their traditional stomping ground in Orlando, said Vani Ungapen, director of research at the Florida Association of Realtors.

“Most of them are buying high-end homes,” she said. “They are looking for a big house with a swimming pool, and you can’t buy that in London.”

Brokers say Miami Beach’s famous South Beach district is luring Italians, French and Germans; Russians are flocking to Sunny Isles Beach to the north; Venezuelans who may be fearing socialist President Hugo Chavez are buying in Doral, to the west.

Miami broker Brigitte Benichay said middle-class French entrepreneurs are eager to join a 30,000-strong French community in Miami and open businesses here.

“Because of the strength of the euro they are paying cash,” she said. “Eighty percent of the ones I meet want to pay all cash. Business is very strong.”

The Beacon Council, Miami’s business development agency, said foreign businesses are increasingly setting up shop in the city. The number of multinational projects it is working on has virtually doubled in five years, and those companies are bringing employees interested in buying property.

“The economic market here is diversified. We’re not any longer dependent on one industry, like tourism, or on one region, like Latin America,” president Frank Nero said.

Despite explosive price increases in recent years, Nero said, prices can look cheap to someone from Paris or Madrid.

(Additional reporting by David Schwartz in Phoenix)

(Editing by Philip Barbara)

Mark Zilbert’s February Miami Beach Market Update

Friday, February 15th, 2008

MIAMI BEACH LOVES STEAK HOUSES.  Most people who know me know that I spend many evenings at South Beach’s PRIME 112, the legendary steak house on Ocean Drive.  Well, the restaurant may be getting some competition.  Both MORTON’S STEAKHOUSE and GIBSONS STEAKHOUSE OF CHICAGO are planning to open locations in South Beach.  Morton’s is planning to open a location at 40th and Collins, while Gibsons will be onsite at the Continuum condo complex.

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WANT A SOUTH BEACH BODY?  A new company is launching an innovative service for visitors to South Beach.  WILLPOWER PHYSIQUES will create a customized program of personal-training, food delivery, massage therapy and even rejuvenation counseling from the comfort of your hotel room during your visits to South Beach.  They come to you, wherever you are.  In just a few weeks, you’re ready to show off your stuff to the envy of South Beach’s supermodels.  William Ltaif, a local fitness celebrity, launched the service recently and has already signed an impressive list of VIP clients.  WILLPOWER’S services are offered strictly by appointment, so contact me if you’d like to learn more.  The company also offers its inclusive fitness and food delivery programs to most condo residences in South Beach.

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BIG HAPPENINGS IN SOUTH BEACH.  We’re at the peak of the winter season in South Beach.  The International Boat Show is running this week, followed by the Food and Wine Festival, followed by the International Film Festival.  I’m happy to report that despite some of the negative news that real estate has been generating recently, we’re seeing an increase in buyers looking for luxury condos.

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CONTINUUM II READY TO OPEN ITS DOORS.  One of the most-anticipated condo openings is right around the corner.  Our firm will have some incredible (well-priced) oceanfront condos to sell in the next few weeks, so stay tuned if you’ve been in the market for something at Continuum II.  If you happen to be a buyer at Continuum II and want to sell your condo, we’re going to have one of the greatest marketing programs for Continuum II launching in just a few weeks.  Look for it.

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OCEAN DRIVE MAGAZINE FEATURES MARK ZILBERT.  Keep your eyes open for the upcoming March 2008 edition of Ocean Drive.  I will be giving readers of the magazine tips on how to hunt for bargain properties in South Beach.  There are numerous buying opportunities, and buyers are taking advantage of the excess condo inventory.  In South Beach, we’re really not seeing the “fifty-cents-on-the-dollar” market like some believe, though.  We have, however, seen incredible price reductions of 20-30%.  Plus, mortgage rates are lower, giving buyers more buying power.

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A Market Snapshot To help some of our customers understand the current state of the Miami Beach real estate market, I recently compiled some statistics from the local realtor associations (the Southeast Florida MLS system).  We took a look at Miami Beach condos from South Beach through mid-beach, where the listing price was $500,000 or greater and where the condos had 2, 3 or 4 bedrooms.  We also looked at sales data from January 1, 2007 and later.  This is what we found:

·      471 condos sold in this period.  402 have closed.  The other 69 units are in various stages of closing. 

o   237 (59%) sold in the $500K-$1M range.  113 (28.1%) sold in the $1M-$2M range.  And 58 units (10.6%) sold for over $2M.

·      There are 1357 current, active listings that match this same criteria.   

o   826 (61.9%) are in the $500K-$1M range.  349 (26%) are in the $1M-$2M range.  And 174 (12.1%) of these active listings are listed above $2M.

·      This is a significant result.  While inventories are high, the data suggests a UNIFORM market.  The ratio of properties that are listed for sale and those that are selling has been consistent for well over a year.

·      The ratio of current, available apartments to the number sold in the period since January 1, 2007 is 2.881-to-1.  So, for every one sale, there are now just under 3 available units.  We think that makes Miami Beach something very special.

THE BIG WINNERS - Here is a list of some of the highest-valued condos selling since January 2007:

  1. The Setai - averaged $1745.52/sf
  2. Continuum I - averaged $1160.59/sf
  3. Portofino Tower - averaged $1022.19/sf
  4. ICON South Beach - averaged $782.01/sf
  5. MOSIAC - averaged $778.45/sf
  6. Murano Grande - averaged $743.78/sf

Fear of Declining Values

While these numbers are much better than we would have imagined (given all the negative press about real estate), we are not ready to declare Miami Beach’s market as having stabilized.  We are guessing that 2008 will see some additional declines in market value, but modestly.  We feel that we are near the bottom of the market (in the luxury sector), and 2008 will ultimately see prices smooth out towards the end of the year.  We further expect 2009 to have flat market values, then start rising upwards in 2010.  This is merely our prediction, however, but many seem to agree with us.

The problem, of course, is that many buyers are holding-off on condo purchases, for fear of continuing declines in market value.  Thankfully, the strong European and Canadian currencies are fueling purchases of properties in the area.  Also, newly-reduced mortgage rates may be having an impact.  Buyers need to be cautious, but can certainly benefit from purchasing in today’s market. 

Tips For Buyers

There are great deals out there.  Look for condos that were purchased PRIOR to 2004.  It’s possible that the sellers have a lot of room to move on the pricing.  Unfortunately, sellers who purchased properties in 2005 or later may find that their condos are worth about what they paid for them, or even less.  This may take a few years to correct.  We see great deals at The Waverly, Murano Grande and even Continuum I.  Watch out for condos where defaults or foreclosures are on the rise.  While you may get a good price, you may also find yourself being hit with special assessments to cover the shortage in maintenance fees caused by defaulting owners.  This could amount to thousands of dollars per owner.

Tips For Sellers

Don’t assume that your condo is worth what it was worth last year.  Buyers today are bargain hunting.  Even the ultra-luxury buyers are looking for the best deals.  If you want to sell quickly, you need to drop your pricing to become among the lowest priced condo in your category.  Buyers are generally looking at the 3-5 least expensive units in a building, so make sure your condo is in that list.  If you are not willing to offer a bargain price, it’s unlikely that you will sell in the short term.  Sellers of NEWLY-finished condos (especially Downtown condos) should expect losses.  The key is to mimimize your loss and unload your property.  Buyers are out there, if you price is a good one.

How We Can Help

If you are a buyer or a seller, let us sit down with you and help you understand the best and smartest way to play in today’s real estate market.  There is something for everybody, but we have to play smart.